Hold These L’s: Louisville and Lille Meta Analysis

[PMJ]

With Lille Regionals finishing up, we have now seen quite a developed metagame in the Stellar Crown format with several tournaments already having taken place. Going forward, the Latin America International Championships will also use the Stellar Crown format, so this will probably end up being the most played format this season. Not until after LAIC will Surging Sparks be legal, though there are lots of interesting cards in that set that I will write about in the near future. Today, however, I will take a look at the two most recent Regionals and analyze the interesting meta developments. This will help us chart a course forward and make sense of all the data we have available.

At the previous week’s Louisville Regional, my Raging Bolt ex list actually won the tournament, although unfortunately not in my hands...

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[Grim Thoughts]

In my opinion, Lost Box is definitely the most underrated deck in the format at the moment. The only nearly-unwinnable matchup for it is Regidrago VSTAR. Other than Gardevoir and Dragapult, which are tough but winnable matchups, the deck has a really positive spread against everything else

 

[Kookaburra Kong]

Regardless, the MVC (Most Valued Card) right now is either Ogerpon or Dusknoir.

 

[piyuv]

people don’t include manaphy because you can just cursed blast it, no?

 

[Steen]

people don’t include manaphy because you can just cursed blast it, no?

Yeah but bench hitting moves aren't really common right now anyways unless you're Drago.

 

[Steen]

In my opinion, Lost Box is definitely the most underrated deck in the format at the moment. The only nearly-unwinnable matchup for it is Regidrago VSTAR. Other than Gardevoir and Dragapult, which are tough but winnable matchups, the deck has a really positive spread against everything else

The #1 issue I continue to see with lost box is its setup speed has stayed exactly the same since its inception and has rapidly been outpaced for some time. Raging Bolt can oneshot Comfey for one energy, snipe any Giratina on sight, and has next to no issue with any other attackers. A Zard or Dragapult running Dusclops/Dusknoir can easily do the same snipes to Giratina before it has the chance to deal rapid prize collection. Any instance of Iron Hands nulls everything in Lost Box that is not Giratina.

It is a deck that requires a lot of decision making, massive foresight, and a lot of luck with using selections. It is not going to be top viable in my eyes for the foreseeable future because of how simpler other decks in the same tier as it, and frankly more popular.

 

[piyuv]

Yeah but bench hitting moves aren't really common right now anyways unless you're Drago.

also palkia

 

[MarlinRimes]

In my opinion, Lost Box is definitely the most underrated deck in the format at the moment. The only nearly-unwinnable matchup for it is Regidrago VSTAR. Other than Gardevoir and Dragapult, which are tough but winnable matchups, the deck has a really positive spread against everything else

Right after the bdif, klawf ofc