As a fellow NM user, I can offer a few bits of advice, though I will say I've yet to face Toad, but that's changing at my locals now so I've started preparing for it.
First off, I run the Vespiquen variant, so the Grass typing is key. I'm also using one copy of Xerosic for certain matchups (knock off Focus Sash/Strong Energy vs. LucarioBats, knock off Spirit Links, etc.), so using that to knock off DCE from Toad can slow them down if they don't have another one to replace it, thus giving you a turn to use your Items. I'm also trying out Psychic's Third Eye as a discard outlet under Item-lock, and the Clairvoyance effect is just a bonus.