I've been doing VGCs for a while, and I have to agree with this. Doubles matches can go very quickly, and most opponents are going to go out of the way to take out the opponent's team as quickly as possible. With that said, there's a lot of value in diffusing a team's offensive potential. Intimidate activates as soon as the user switches in, and the debuff turns a lot of potential OHKOes into 2HKOes (or 2HKOes into 3HKOes if you don't trust your offensive power). Since Z-Crystals mimic the properties of Gems from 5th gen, they will be used a lot, but being single-use makes them a lot more balanced than Gems ever were. They'll probably be used a lot on speedy Special Attackers such as Tapu Koko and Salamence (mainly because few to no moves/abilities can lower Sp. Atk) or bulky weather setters like Politoed. I can see it being an especially common trend for Salamence since it's basically a Gemmed Draco Meteor without the Sp. Atk drop. Watch your backs, everyone.
Yeah, I can agree with this. I'd be surprised if Mence dropped from its role as the best VGC mega, especially now that Gems are back as well.
Anyways, these are my opinions:
- Decidueye is decidedly average. I don't see it having much use in singles, as Defog is really its only claim to fame. It's too slow. I don't see it being used in VGC either.
- Incineroar will have a place in VGC with Intimidate and Fake Out, which is unique to it. I don't see it being used much in higher tier singles, though as the sole possessor of the strongest Dark move, I could see it finding a place in RU.
- Primarina is one of the strongest Water types in terms of raw power (only Keldeo beats it, so it's the strongest for VGC). Singles wise, it's too slow and the physical bulk is too low to be used much. In doubles, Water-type Hyper Voice is cool off of the 126 SpA but it's a one trick seal aside from that niche.
- Toucannon is lame. Skill Link is it's best set for Rock Blast and Bullet Seed (it gets no STAB for Sheer Force and all of its options are low BP). Beak Blast is bad since I think it's a two turn move. Choice Band is its best set.
- Gumshoos boasts the strongest attack in the game with Stakeout (not joking), though you have to deal with the abysmal speed. Could be scary in the lower tiers, but that speed dooms it in most environments. It won't be used in VGC.
- Vikavolt is screwed with that speed. It lacks the bulk and typing to be too useful. Not worth it.
- Crabominable is awful with that speed stat. Bulky Ice types don't work, especially with that many weaknesses.
- Oricorio is a literal gimmick.
- Ribombee isn't that bad actually. QuiverPass will be useful given it's already high speed, and it's defensive typing is cool too. VGC will love it for Speed Swap.
- Lycanroc Midday will have a niche for Rock priority, though it's basically Aerodactyl without the flying type. Midnight form is bad.
- Wishiwashi sounds cool in theory but it's low HP and speed will wreck it. It's too reliant on Sitrus Berry too. The only good set would be RestTalk.
- Toxipex is one of the best new Pokemon for singles. That bulk, Recover and Regenerator will be so useful. Easy OU.
- Mudsdale is an average Ground type. It would be really good with recovery but it's doomed to lower tiers without it.
- Araquanid is awful. Don't use it.
- Lurantis is also bad. Low speed and no coverage will doom it.
- Shiinotic is a variant of Amoonguss. Spotlight will give it a niche in VGC as it's quite possibly the best move in the game now with Dark Void nerfed. Singles probably won't use it.
- Salazzle is too frail for high tiers, and the ability is redundant given it's Fire type. It's nice for a fast fire type and the fast poison attacks may give it an OU niche.
- Bewear is bulkier than Mega Steelix, and I would say it could go OU if it got Drain Punch but it doesn't. Watch this guy though come the next games when we'll get tutors.
- Tsareena is awful with her strongest STAB being 70BP and little coverage.
- Comfey could be cool in VGC, especially with Tapu Bulu. Too weak for singles.
- Oranguru is outclassed by Smeargle at its niche.
- Passimian is too slow, and I still don't like Receiver
- Golisopod could be cool as a pivot, though I wish it had U-Turn. I like the bulk on it
- Pallossand isn't as good as I thought. I wish it got Will-o-Wisp and that Water Compaction gave it an immunity. It's a lot like Golurk.
- Pyukumuku is garbage
- Minior sounds cool with Shell Smash + White Herb + Acrobatics. Willing to give it a shot, as I think it's a better Aerodactyl.
- Komola could be good, though I kinda doubt it. It's too average in its non-Attack stats.
- Turtonator's signature move is like a reverse Focus Punch, where you want to get hit. It's synergetic with Shell Smash so I could see it getting some use for mindgames.
- Togedemaru is awful
- Mimikyu has potential with how incredible Disguise is. If you can force a switch and set up a Sub, you can use your disguise turn to set up an SD and go to town.
- Bruxish has a solid Strong Jaw set though it's too average in the sea of Water types for much use.
- Drampa is a special version of Druddigon, though I like that it has recovery and an insane movepool. Could be good in the lower tiers.
- Dhelmise is a Ghost type spinner, so that gives it a really good niche. It can 2HKO Mega Sableye with some attack investment.
- Kommo-o could be good with the many different ways of boosting that it has. It's limited on the Fighting side to just Sky Uppercut, so I don't see it breaking into OU.
- Silvally will probably be UU, though I'll admit I'd love a Flying type version of it in OU.
- Tapu Koko will be really good in VGC and lower OU. Electric Terrain will be good.
- Tapu Lele is top tier OU with how strong it is. Literally a better Gardevoir.
- Tapu Bulu is probably the worst by a decent margin. Probably UU/RU.
- Tapu Fini could be good, though it probably won't be OU.
- Solgaleo is Uber
- so is Lunala
- Nihilego is 4x weak to Earthquake and it's lacking in physical bulk so I doubt it'll be in the higher tiers. It is a fast Rocker though.
- Buzzwole lacks strong Bug and Fighting stabs, and it's really slow so I doubt it'll be good
- Pheromosa is broken
- Xurkitree lacks the speed and bulk to be really good, and it's lacking in coverage to be a good wallbreaker
- Celesteela is weird, but not in the good way. It's too average and too slow. Autonomize sets would be the only thing that could work.
- Kartana is going to Ubers
- Guzzlord is bulky, though it has seven weaknesses and no recovery. Outclassed by Chansey
- Necrozma has too narrow of a movepool to be good
- Magearna is solid. Easy OU.
- Marshadow will go to Ubers day 1
- Alolan Raticate is awful
- Alolan Raichu will be good on Electric Terrain teams and not much outside of them
- Alolan Persian has cool utility moves like Parting Shot alongside Fur Coat. Niche use in lower tiers.
- Alolan Muk is a straight buff on regular Muk due to Dark type and STAB Knock Off, though that's still not saying much
- Alolan Dugtrio isn't good since it lost Arena Trap. Though it'd probably be broken with it.
- Alolan Marowak could be cool with a solid set of resistances, and it still gets the Thick Club boost. Trick Room might like this.
- Alolan Golem is better than the original, and I like Electric Explosion. I could see it being useful on Electric Terrain teams.
- Alolan Sandslash could be good, and Hail will like the Steel type. I think it's the better Slush Rush user due to its speed.
- Alolan Ninetales could bring Hail to OU, and it's able to fight most of the other weather setters (Pelipper dies to Freeze Dry, Tyranitar is 2HKOed in sand by Moonblast, Hippowdon dies to Freeze Dry, which just leaves Torkoal, though you beat all of the Chlorophyll mons)
- Alolan Exeggutor might be worth it, as it gets a nice movepool now.
- Pelipper is going to OU with Drizzle
- Torkoal might have a place in OU with Drought
- Gigalith and Vanilluxe are too outclassed by Hippowdon and Ninetales
- Beartic will be a Hail staple with Slush Rush
- Dugtrio might get banned with the attack boost
- Dodrio has a solid OU niche with the speed boost and Jump Kick
- Mantine might be going OU with Roost and the HP buff
- Swellow is much better now. Probably UU.