How long will HS-on last?

that's why I initially thought a CL-on rotation. but then I realized that it would be more likely to have a TM-on rotation, with some sort of good energy acceleration for electric pokemon, so that yanmega goes down. the new fighting types can deal with electrics, so that's not as much of an issue.
 
I doubt it'll be TM-on. After a year, people will tire of Yanmega dominating the meta; it'll be time to move on.
 
Until September 2012, after Worlds, and it will probably be either TM-on, CoL-on, or BW-on, as people may get tired of Yanmega Prime, but what good is Lost world without Mew or Gengar? Or they could just drop the whole thing and go BW-on, but in my opinion, I'd prefer TM-on, so Mew can stay. :)
 
HS-on will definitely go on until September 1st, 2012. Throughout the years, the rotation pattern remained the same. A rotation would happen on the September 1st of a year, and this would mark the beginning of a new format. That format would go on until September 1st of the year after, where another rotation on the same day occurred, starting another new format, and from there, the process would repeat.

The only reason why they made a rotation on July 1st instead of September 1st was because of one card: Sableye. The new rule changes made when Black and White was released turned Sableye into an overly broken card. It could now abuse Trainers and Supporters on the starting turn to the point it could pull off the donk super easily compared to the MD-CoL format. This lead to the creation of Sabledonk, which focused on that exact strategy. In the end, however, it was really Sableye in combination with Trainers and Supporters on the first turn that was problem, as players started to discover ways to actually pull off easy donks with Sableye in other decks: those decks being Luxchomp and Gyarados. Such a situation would cause nationals and worlds to become extremely disappointing because many players wouldn't be able to experience full games, and that would just take the fun out of the game. Plus, when BW was released in Japan, Sableye was already rotated, so it wasn't much of concern compared to what happened internationally. Outside of Japan, The rule changes caused huge shock on how donks could be pulled off more easily than before; so, in the end, to make the game fun for everyone for nationals and worlds, they chose to make the format HS-on with a rotation happening on July 1st, and it is already evident that the format is much more balanced compared to MD-on.

As for the sets that will be rotated in the next rotation, It'll most likely be all of the remaining Generation 4 sets: Those sets being HS-CoL. This would leave the format BW-on. Why would they do this? Well, what has usually happened is that whenever a new generation set is released, a bunch of sets are rotated out to make way for the new generation, leaving only a few sets of the past generation behind. A good example of this was back when DP was released to the TCG. When it was released, it caused the next rotation to rotate out 5 of the 9 Generation 3 sets remaining: Those being Deoxys-Legend Maker. This left behind only 4 sets from Generation 3 (those being Holon Phantoms-Power Keepers) in the next year, and then the year after that, all of those 4 remaining Generation 3 sets were rotated out, leaving behind a DP-on format for the next year. With this in mind, one can expect a similar thing to happen with Generation 5's release; heck, it is already beginning to happen. With BW's release, All of the remaining Diamond, Pearl, and Platinum sets were rotated to make way for the newest generation, leaving behind only 5 sets of Generation 4: Those being the HS sets. By going the usual pattern, we should expect all of the HS sets to be rotated on September 1st, 2012, thus leaving a BW-on format for the 2012-2013 year.

If this is getting a little bit confusing, let me sum up my point. This is a new generation of Pokemon. Remnants of Generation 4 won't last forever (modified TCG wise). Play! Pokemon wants us to move on to Generation 5, so one can expect the next rotation to rotate out all of the remaining Generation 4 sets. Also, one can expect the next rotation to happen on September 1st next year because at the rate that this is going, the new format is not going to get very imbalanced as opposed to the days of DP.
 
In my opinion the Pokemon crew should get more involved with the game. In Magic and YuGiOh, when a card is too powerful, it gets banned or at least nerfed (ruled to be worse than before). But with Pokemon, they just sit back until it's rotated.
This has made me a little bit frustrated with some of the past formats. I dislike formats where there's a couple of overpowered decks that roll over everything else. This year's Nationals was alright, but only because we (in the Netherlands) played with the old rules and MD-CoL. With the new rules Sableye was the clear winner of any tournament and should've gotten banned before it got so out of hand.

Anyway, the next rotation will probably be in either 1 year or 2 years. I'm okay with a 2 year cycle, if they don't release too many sets. I think the BW block will consist of 5 sets, so 3 more after Emerging Powers. By then it's already past September 2012 and we'll see what happens. But overall, it would be way more fun if they just kept fhe format in good shape through banlists and let us play with a couple of more cards.
 
1 month after rotation and the first threads speculating the next rotation start popping up.

i understand that wasnt the thread original intent, but its what it has turned into.

anyway

i think next format will either be cl-on or bw-on, both are a good possibility. but they might still try to up the number of cards in the format and have no rotation, they've done it before.

anyway this speculation is based solely on what past rotations have been. trying to base it on whats best for the format is dumb because there are still 4 sets to be released before then. and we only have a good idea of what will be 1 of those. Also, we have no idea what Pokemon EX will do to the format.

anyway, with the way rotation has been for the last 3 years, i would say anything is possible.
 
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