Finished Mafia XXXVII: Celever's School Grades ~ Game Over!
- Thread starter Celever
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What are everyone's current read on TSM? I know they were a scum read and target for some people, but I'm unsure if they were ever cleared in some form.
Im not sure what to think, he comes off as a member not really paying attention to the game to me.
##UNVOTE
##VOTE: SIMSANDS
I hate to go with a gut feeling this far into the game, but I have literally zero scumreads beyond Muffin. It's the biggest shot in the dark ever, but the scum team is probably pretty experienced if they've made it this far totally unscathed, and IMO that means one or more of them is simsands, scattered, and King X.
##VOTE: SIMSANDS
I hate to go with a gut feeling this far into the game, but I have literally zero scumreads beyond Muffin. It's the biggest shot in the dark ever, but the scum team is probably pretty experienced if they've made it this far totally unscathed, and IMO that means one or more of them is simsands, scattered, and King X.
I think he would be more coached if he were scum.
Why simsands instead of someone else? Was there any post in particular that gave you this "gut feeling?"
Why not Camo?
As much as I think Muffin is scum, it's LYLO.
##UNVOTE: Mr.Muffin
Just *this* much more than King X and scattered. And no post in particular; I just asked Cel for an updated list of living players and sim's name stood out as an experienced player who had been under no suspicion already.
Point, that. Probably because he wasn't on the list Cel gave me. I still want to look into sim, though––like I said, he's had literally no suspicion on him all game iirc.
Nothing in particular. I can't put a case on you, so I wouldn't expect you to defend. Guess there's not much of a point in looking into it today. :/
##UNVOTE
##VOTE: TFP
I guess Ill ##VOTE: TheFlyingPidove
not because of TFP, but because Camo did some weird stuff in the past.
(I would vote TheSceptileMaster, but he's gonna get modkilled anyways soooo....)
not because of TFP, but because Camo did some weird stuff in the past.
(I would vote TheSceptileMaster, but he's gonna get modkilled anyways soooo....)
ACTUALLY, did some recalculations and we need to lynch 1 scum and 0 town, so that would not be a good idea.
##UNVOTE
##VOTE: TheSceptileMaster
So you think we should lynch the one who's about to be modkilled?
If TSM is going to be modkilled and he's town then we've got exactly two choices. One, lynch him first and hope he's scum. And two, lynch double o muffin and hope they're both scum. That, uh, should be obvious. n.n;
This.
If you lynch 2 people, then you need both of them to be scum or town loses.
If you lynch a odd number of people, then the majority of those lynched must be scum, so only 2 scenarios as pointed above ^.
WAIT, but if we lynch 1 and 1 we will be at 3 scum v 5 town right?
So after ONE night kill, it would be 3 v 4 ?
so would it actually work?
This math is too confusing!!
Oh wait, nevermind, there's 1 indie apparently. I forgot. So that won't work unless the indie gets killed in place of 1 of the town?
We do not know for sure that there's an indie.
I'll write down a couple scenarios if TSM gets modkilled.
10 people alive. 6 town, 4 scum, 0 indies.
TSM is town and we lynch town: 4 - 4 - 0
TSM is town and we lynch scum: 5 - 3 - 0
TSM is scum and we lynch town: 5 - 3 - 0
TSM is scum and we lynch scum: 6 - 2 - 0
5 town, 4 scum, 1 indie.
TSM is town and we lynch town: 3 - 4 - 1
TSM is town and we lynch scum: 4 - 3 - 1
TSM is town and we lynch indie: 4 - 4 - 0
TSM is scum and we lynch town: 4 - 3 - 1
TSM is scum and we lynch scum: 5 - 2 - 1
TSM is scum and we lynch indie: 5 - 3 - 0
TSM is indie and we lynch town: 4 - 4 - 0
TSM is indie and we lynch scum: 5 - 3 - 0
Colorcoded for easier overview. Green is a good lynch, red is bad and blue is salvageable (Vig, doctor, indie NK'd, et cetera).
I'll write down a couple scenarios if TSM gets modkilled.
10 people alive. 6 town, 4 scum, 0 indies.
TSM is town and we lynch town: 4 - 4 - 0
TSM is town and we lynch scum: 5 - 3 - 0
TSM is scum and we lynch town: 5 - 3 - 0
TSM is scum and we lynch scum: 6 - 2 - 0
5 town, 4 scum, 1 indie.
TSM is town and we lynch town: 3 - 4 - 1
TSM is town and we lynch scum: 4 - 3 - 1
TSM is town and we lynch indie: 4 - 4 - 0
TSM is scum and we lynch town: 4 - 3 - 1
TSM is scum and we lynch scum: 5 - 2 - 1
TSM is scum and we lynch indie: 5 - 3 - 0
TSM is indie and we lynch town: 4 - 4 - 0
TSM is indie and we lynch scum: 5 - 3 - 0
Colorcoded for easier overview. Green is a good lynch, red is bad and blue is salvageable (Vig, doctor, indie NK'd, et cetera).
Looking at the vote counts, with the exception of dos (Who's almost confo-town, at least in my book), TSM has only ever voted (now) known town. New scum has a tendency to not vote their scum partners. He also used his vote to save Muffin from being lynched yesterday, so if we believe Muffin is scum, that is also another point against him.
I find it quite likely that TSM will flip scum.
I find it quite likely that TSM will flip scum.
I think at this point voting a potential modkill may be be our safest bet.
##vote: TheSceptileMaster
##vote: TheSceptileMaster
He'll be warned at the end of this day phase, and if he doesn't improve during Day 5 he'll be modkilled. Unless a spectator decides to be a sub, of course, in which case TSM will be subbed out at the end of Day 4.
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