RE: Werewolf X: The Day the Earth Disappeared (Day 2: Ends Monday, July 25th)
Note: I am paraphrasin not using direct quotes fyi
@hipoke
What actual evidence is ther that I shud be lynched at all Ever? None, . People are just like.."oh, you stated that a modkill would probably happen, so you're suspicious" As rockwrecker said, modkills happen almos every game on the first day. and then it was "oh you stopped rambling, so you must be suspicious" well yeah I did, because as long as I make some kind of spelling or grammer error every so often in my posts I am within my role as a drunk. then it was "oh you're being rude, so you must be a wolf" now honestly, that's like saying Joeypals who was in murder was a good guy just because he was nice.. (For those of you who don't know, Joeypals pretended to be nice the entire game and was Actually the killer), my temperment and/or attitude really bear no information on my guilt or innocene, nor on anyone's..A Townie can be a rude so and so..and a wolf can be a perfectly nice person, OR, a wolf can be a rude person, and a townie can be a perfectly nice person.
Now, in regards to me saying that noob players will not be helpful, overall that is the case. Woudl you rather have a shot at the dark against any random player with 0 Actual evidence and just hope and pray he's a wolf? Statistically the ods of randomly lynching a wolf by Vote is like 1 in 6. 16% chance that anyone we vote for with 0 evidence is a wolf. Honestly I dont like those odds, but if we Do Not vote for anyone, one of us will die tonight by random lynch, which could mean our doctor, or another IMPORTANT role could die too. I like that prospect evn less. I WISH we had actual evidence on who's a wolf, and who isn't, but we don't. I'm a drunk, and that's all I know. I wish I had a beter role, like seer, or doctor/priest, but I dont. The Only thing I have, is my logic, and my experience. Now logically, to me at least, it would be more adventagous for a new player to be killed instead of Any Random non wolf, Also as riskbreakers said new players can pretend to be smart, and make stupid decisions which would endanger the group. Now, I'm not saying that an experiencd player couldn't be a wolf, I'm just saying that since their is no evidence @ this point, that it would be better to lynch a newb rather than someone experienced, as both of them have just as random likelyhood of being a wolf.
oyeah1988 said:
Yes, but as long as we have more townies than wolves, we win. So every townie is crucial for us to win!
Yeah I know, but I don't think you understand that with 0 Actual evidence, the likelyhood of a TOWNIE dying by random lynch via lenny is 100%, and the chance of Any lynch BY US to get a wolf is 16%, meaning that given those two options, it's better to vot off a newer player. Now if someone wants to logicaly dispute my percentages or my statements feel free, but please do not resort to childish twisting of words like others have done.
This isn't Star craft mafia, wher people can just choose not to vote for anyone at all and no one is lynched. No matter if we vote someone off or not Someone wil die.
Now, what i have said, since day 2 started, was to Wait to vote for Anyone. And I even told you I would not be voting at all for Anyone until today, 7/23.
That being said, I still do not feel the need to vote for anyone at this time, even though numerous people have pointed fingers at me and/or voted for me. I'm not a vindictive person, although others have been before or in other games. I will use logic and analysis to try and deduce who is most likely a wolf.
legendhunter32 said:
Lenny whats the vote count? We are getting nowhere. We need to vote for someone. If we vote for someone there is a chance that they might be a werewolf but with a random lynch it will be a townie for sure. Oh and I will be on Vacation on Sunday and Monday.
As stated above, we would only have a 16% chance to get a wolf.
catutie said:
hmmmm....lets vote for an inactive person ;D that was we get more details and we lose absolutely nothing
I agree, lets see who hasnt posted at all, they could either be a wolf lurking or a total noob who even forgot about the game entirely.
Question to Lenny:
Is the boot policy still if they do not post at all in One day/night they are out?
Anyway, I'm done with this super long post explaining my reasonin
