ICNCND? I don't know what that is.
ICNCND = I Can Neither Confirm Nor Deny. It's a useful shorthand term.
Case on simsands: His last vote for Luis reeked of bandwagon. If you wanna look at a "please give me townie points" vote, Celever, that's a far better example than any hammer vote. The update also confirms him as not being Solana, Kate, Kellyn, Keith, or my character, so that drastically reduces the odds of him being aligned with the town - especially since we have two scum teams.
I feel really off about thegrovylekid's role, though. It looks too complex to fake, but I can't get over the vote locking. That's absolutely anti-town and there's no way you can spin it otherwise. The update didn't say anything about a Flygon, just that it happened. Researching reveals Wally owned a Flygon in the manga but that's a stretch. Can anyone else confirm being affected by any of his abilities? If he really just used five abilities in one night then someone has gotta come forward. I want to believe but that vote lock is really screwing with me.
Not sure what to think re: SilverSilent. Celever thought Luis was trying to push a wagon off me and onto IE and SS has been characteristically reserved with his vote so I don't think it's a big deal he didn't vote Luis. I think you are giving Celever too much town credit for the Luis lynch.
Celever I don't have time to respond properly to your latest post so I will do that laaaaaaaaater
I don't think that simisands is mafia, though I don't think he's too town either. He's somewhat of a nullread, but the sand makes him such a risky lynch today that I don't think it's worth it right now. Hell, if TGK is mafia simisands could feasibly be a scumbuddy because of it, though that's a stretch.
I do agree that it's too early to write TGK off as confotown, though. I don't think it's necessarily because of the Flygon not having much town utility, because it actually has very little mafia utility as well. The only thing is can be used for is to dissuade others from voting for a player, which I would actually say is more towny than scummy. I think that TGK could still be mafia because his role is incredibly convenient. His one towny role -- the doctor -- is only one-time use, and due to Loyalty he would have had to have used that alongside the rest of his abilities. This means that for the rest of the game he can carry on being immune to tracks and watches (only useful to mafia). The rest of his abilities are all useless for various other reasons -- Breloom, while a town role, is a role which only comes into play after death, which means that it's irrelevant at this point in the game. There was something else which TGK said earlier which I took a mental note of but for whatever reason didn't make a proper connection of until now:
3. SilverSilent attempted to target me with a Pokemon effect, which failed because I used Cacturne on him.
You used Cacturne on SilverSilent? But...
Also, last night I know thanks to my Pokemon that he targeted Luispipe8. I guess he has the ability to take his abilities or something.
This is a direct contradiction, because unless SilverSilent has a role with a higher priority than roleblocker (such roles are incredibly rare -- usually only other roleblockers depending on setup, which SilverSilent obviously isn't).
Of course, the other convenient thing about Wally is that his Pokemon's attacks deplete in accuracy each night starting Night 2. Clearly Cacturne just missed, right? Not quite, since last night was Night 1, so the effects of the accuracy depletion weren't actually in effect. This means that there's a 100% hit rate on his attacks.
I think there's a simple way to do this:
##UNVOTE: PMJ ##VOTE: thegrovylekid. I know that we're back here again, but unfortunately your claim just fell apart, which was the main thing that saved you yesterday. I still think that PMJ is really bloody scummy, though. Anyway, the magic thing about lynching TGK today is that thanks to Breloom if he is town he will be able to keep contributing through tomorrow anyway, sharing lots of final thoughts and all the rest of it for a whole extra day. This means that this lynch is less risky because the lack of contribution we will receive from the lynchee won't come into affect for another while. This also means that TGK should be less afraid of being lynched. I think this is probably the optimal way to do things.
Also, don't think I haven't noticed you scathing by on minimal contribution
@TwistedTurtwig.