RE: Buying Individual Packs Online
That's true, if you assume each shop independently then the chances are .66^5, .66^5, .33x.66^4 for 12.5% and 6.3%. Still those are very low odds. When I've bought packs online in the past I could instantly tell if they were weighed because I weighed them myself before opening them to see. I remember getting 10 Team Rocket Returns packs on eBay from a UK store and pulled all reverse holos...That being said I think they were about 3USD a pack so I wasn't expecting much.
proddy said:bagoly14 said:Your logic makes sense but I highly doubt it's a coincidence. I mean one holo in 15 packs? That's got to be extremely bad luck because the chance of getting one holofoil is 0.33 x0.66^14 = <1% chance of that happening. I guess it is possible but it's just difficult to believe if you assume a 1 in 3 packs holo ratio. I hope I did the math right, I started confusing myself by over complicating it and thinking about factorials etc... -_- haha
Isn't that if those 15 packs were from one shop? These are 3 different instances of 5 packs each. If we assume that the ratio is 1/3 packs, there are 24 packs in each box that has nothing. If the unfortunate poster took 5 random packs out of mostly full boxes, it's entirely possible to not get anything 3 times in a row.
That's true, if you assume each shop independently then the chances are .66^5, .66^5, .33x.66^4 for 12.5% and 6.3%. Still those are very low odds. When I've bought packs online in the past I could instantly tell if they were weighed because I weighed them myself before opening them to see. I remember getting 10 Team Rocket Returns packs on eBay from a UK store and pulled all reverse holos...That being said I think they were about 3USD a pack so I wasn't expecting much.