RE: Werewolf XXIV: The Wizarding War - Day 1 will end on December 17th, 23:59 GMT
Responding to bbninjas:
When I said TT and MtC were tunneling, I used the wrong terminology. No, they weren't tunneling. As I was saying before, "I just singled him and MtC out because they are both experienced players who I believe should have some more common sense". I admit I didn't mean tunneling, I apologize for the confusion.
As to your second point, I never actually said Teal having a QT makes Teal more likely to be town. I said there was a "huge chance" that Teal could possibly be a very important character. If there were 6 scum (random guesses, I have to say that because people will jump at my throat) and 3 townie with QTs (when the number could very well be higher, I'm going off the assumption that Harry Potter theme has got the 3 main characters in a QT), then there is 1/3 chance that Teal is a townie, IF WE ASSUME TEAL EVEN HAS A QT AND IS NOT GOING OFF STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF PAST WEREWOLF GAMES. To me, that 1/3 chance is still a "huge" chance, considering there could be even more townies in a QT. There is a higher chance, from what we know, that if someone has a QT they are scum. I'm not arguing that logic, I agree with it. I'm saying is it worth the chance? Especially because Teal is also an active player, and losing an active (and intelligent player) on Day 1 is unfortunate.
If you say it is worth the chance, then by all means vote for him, IF you're willing to ignore that it is more likely he was making an educated guess on how QTs work in WW games. I'm NOT willing to ignore that.
I'm also confused as to why because I'm defending the logic behind Teal's thoughts, I'm suddenly a target. At this point it seems like you disagree with my opinion? My flawed logic as you say, which as I explain in this post is just opinion on risk vs. reward, should not sway an apparently more likely lynch target to me. Unless of course, the initial lynch target wasn't that good of a target to begin with...which is what I've been trying to explain the whole time.
I have nothing against you bbninjas. Here's exactly what I said:
"Bbninjas is all over the place and unfortunately I'm not getting a good read because he plays this way a lot. I've seen him as town (I think?) and scum so this is pretty standard. Still, I'm getting weird vibes from him. Just gut feelings, don't have much to back it up."
You were posting a ridiculous amount. You generally always play that way, but not that hardcore, so I couldn't get a good read on you. I said I've seen you as both town and scum and so the way you've played didn't really reveal much. So, to top it all off, I explained how I just don't know what to think of you. Never did I say I thought you were scum, just that I didn't have ANY read on you. At this point in the game, I think you're town. You also post a lot and provide activity, so without any hard proof of you being anti-town, it would be a very bad move to vote you. I said once after in a later post how I'd rather not vote for Teal OR you.
I missed that post about TT. He's pretty open about it. If anybody knows Harry Potter lore and how it could connect to weighted votes, maybe that could give us some insight on who he is, although because there's multiple people with weight, it wouldn't be very conclusive.
All in all, I'm frustrated because I feel like nobody is understanding what I'm trying to say. Maybe I'm not explaining it well. If there's still confusion on my logic of Teal more likely making an educated guess rather than being in a QT, then I'll try to explain again. If you simply disagree and choose to ignore that and think all the assumptions and all the risk vs. reward are indeed worth it, then at this point there's not much I can do and you should vote for Teal. All I'm trying to do is explain the possibilities and my opinion on them, and I won't change my vote simply to join the wagon on Teal.
Responding to bbninjas:
When I said TT and MtC were tunneling, I used the wrong terminology. No, they weren't tunneling. As I was saying before, "I just singled him and MtC out because they are both experienced players who I believe should have some more common sense". I admit I didn't mean tunneling, I apologize for the confusion.
As to your second point, I never actually said Teal having a QT makes Teal more likely to be town. I said there was a "huge chance" that Teal could possibly be a very important character. If there were 6 scum (random guesses, I have to say that because people will jump at my throat) and 3 townie with QTs (when the number could very well be higher, I'm going off the assumption that Harry Potter theme has got the 3 main characters in a QT), then there is 1/3 chance that Teal is a townie, IF WE ASSUME TEAL EVEN HAS A QT AND IS NOT GOING OFF STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF PAST WEREWOLF GAMES. To me, that 1/3 chance is still a "huge" chance, considering there could be even more townies in a QT. There is a higher chance, from what we know, that if someone has a QT they are scum. I'm not arguing that logic, I agree with it. I'm saying is it worth the chance? Especially because Teal is also an active player, and losing an active (and intelligent player) on Day 1 is unfortunate.
If you say it is worth the chance, then by all means vote for him, IF you're willing to ignore that it is more likely he was making an educated guess on how QTs work in WW games. I'm NOT willing to ignore that.
I'm also confused as to why because I'm defending the logic behind Teal's thoughts, I'm suddenly a target. At this point it seems like you disagree with my opinion? My flawed logic as you say, which as I explain in this post is just opinion on risk vs. reward, should not sway an apparently more likely lynch target to me. Unless of course, the initial lynch target wasn't that good of a target to begin with...which is what I've been trying to explain the whole time.
I have nothing against you bbninjas. Here's exactly what I said:
"Bbninjas is all over the place and unfortunately I'm not getting a good read because he plays this way a lot. I've seen him as town (I think?) and scum so this is pretty standard. Still, I'm getting weird vibes from him. Just gut feelings, don't have much to back it up."
You were posting a ridiculous amount. You generally always play that way, but not that hardcore, so I couldn't get a good read on you. I said I've seen you as both town and scum and so the way you've played didn't really reveal much. So, to top it all off, I explained how I just don't know what to think of you. Never did I say I thought you were scum, just that I didn't have ANY read on you. At this point in the game, I think you're town. You also post a lot and provide activity, so without any hard proof of you being anti-town, it would be a very bad move to vote you. I said once after in a later post how I'd rather not vote for Teal OR you.
I missed that post about TT. He's pretty open about it. If anybody knows Harry Potter lore and how it could connect to weighted votes, maybe that could give us some insight on who he is, although because there's multiple people with weight, it wouldn't be very conclusive.
All in all, I'm frustrated because I feel like nobody is understanding what I'm trying to say. Maybe I'm not explaining it well. If there's still confusion on my logic of Teal more likely making an educated guess rather than being in a QT, then I'll try to explain again. If you simply disagree and choose to ignore that and think all the assumptions and all the risk vs. reward are indeed worth it, then at this point there's not much I can do and you should vote for Teal. All I'm trying to do is explain the possibilities and my opinion on them, and I won't change my vote simply to join the wagon on Teal.
Meant to do it anyways... 
