Frankly, I think that, with the Red Lotus STILL not killing after we've had a claimed Avatar, this really is inactivity and not some complex scheme. Which leads me to think that the Red Lotus leader with the kill is one of the inactives who was not modkilled (Cinesra, MtC and TT). Cinesra has become more active lately so he is less suspicious than the other two for now, I think. But of course that doesn't count him out completely.
However, while it is tempting to go in that direction for our lynch today, I think there's some merit in thinking about lynching one of the 7 semi-actives from Day 7-II. Because if I had to guess numbers, there's probably at least one to two each left of Red Lotus and Equalists, which could mean that one or two or maybe even 3 of the semi-actives is scum (especially if all or some of Cinesra, MtC and TT turn out to be town). Because if we go for lynching an inactive, who has a high probability of being struck down by modkill anyway, it seems like a waste of our lynch. Though, this has the downside of reducing our numbers much more quickly, which could be bad if we mislynch several times if there really are still several scum hanging around.
To the other semi-active people out there --- any opinions and/or other suggestions?
However, while it is tempting to go in that direction for our lynch today, I think there's some merit in thinking about lynching one of the 7 semi-actives from Day 7-II. Because if I had to guess numbers, there's probably at least one to two each left of Red Lotus and Equalists, which could mean that one or two or maybe even 3 of the semi-actives is scum (especially if all or some of Cinesra, MtC and TT turn out to be town). Because if we go for lynching an inactive, who has a high probability of being struck down by modkill anyway, it seems like a waste of our lynch. Though, this has the downside of reducing our numbers much more quickly, which could be bad if we mislynch several times if there really are still several scum hanging around.
To the other semi-active people out there --- any opinions and/or other suggestions?